Closing the Year: Market Trends & Takeaways

The fourth quarter of 2025 continued to mirror national housing trends locally: some segments are slowing or transitioning, creating more opportunity for buyers, while other segments remain resilient for sellers. Not all price points or property types are reacting the same, and properly positioned properties continue to retain strong interest.

 


Stowe Market Overview – Real Estate Sales in Stowe, VT

Single-Family Home Sales: Stowe, VT

Stowe’s single-family market saw fewer closed sales year-over-year (down 19.23%), while new listings climbed 50%, giving buyers more options than earlier quarters. Pricing remained elevated in this segment despite the drop in sales volume, with the average sold price up 27.11% and the median sold price up 54.45%. The median sales price for Stowe in Q4 was  $1.70M, up from $1,035M+ in the last quarter of 2024. Homes are taking longer to secure the right buyer—average days on market rose 6.94%, and the median days on market increased to 50 days (up 96%). The list-to-sell ratio softened slightly (down 0.90%), reinforcing how important accurate pricing and strong presentation have become—especially when a property starts a touch too ambitious and needs the market to help it find its true value.

Condo Sales: Stowe, VT

Stowe condos showed a more mixed Q4: sales volume declined 31.82% and new listings dipped 11.63%, but prices moved up meaningfully with the average sold price up 18.85% and the median sold price up 25.46% The median sale price for condominiums in Q4 of 2025 was $725K. Time on market expanded sharply—average days on market rose 151.52%, and median days on market increased to 83 days (up 925%). The list-to-sell ratio slipped 0.83%, suggesting a bit more room for negotiation and a buyer pool that is taking more time to evaluate choices, even in desirable locations.

View the Stowe Stats Here

 

Lamoille County Market Overview – Real Estate Sales in Lamoille County, VT

Single-Family Home Sales: Lamoille County, VT

In the more value-oriented towns outside Stowe, the single-family market offered buyers comparatively more attainable pricing, which continues to make this segment especially appealing. Excluding Stowe, sales volume declined from 60 to 47 closed sales (down 18.05%), while new listings increased from 35 to 38 (up 8.57%), giving buyers more selection heading into winter. The median price for a single family home in Lamoille County excluding Stowe increased 4.63% year-over-year from $410K in Q4 of 2024 to $429K in 2025. The average sales price in this area is $651K at the end of 2025 as compared to $484K in 2024, a 34.5% increase. (Note: countywide summary stats below include Stowe.)

Countywide (including Stowe), single-family sales were down 18.39%, while prices were up with the average sold price rising 29.92% and the median sold price increasing 8% (median $540K). New listings rose 20.41%, average days on market increased 14.04%, and the list-to-sell ratio softened 0.65%—a pattern consistent with a market where buyers are active, but more selective, and sellers benefit most from strategic pricing and strong condition.

Local highlights (single-family):

  • Morristown: Sales down (44%), new listings flat with 12 (0%), median price down (15%) to $475K, median DOM (days on market) up (5.71%) to 37 days.

  • Hyde Park: Sales down (36%), new listings with 5 (0%), median price up (17%) to $400K, median DOM improved (-21%) to 31 days.

  • Johnson: Sales up (83%), new listings down to 7 from 11 (36%), median price essentially flat (-1.07%) at $324K, median DOM improved significantly (-73%) to 20 days.

  • Cambridge: Sales down (40%), new listings up from 4 to 7 (75%), median price up (33%) to $469K, median DOM up (54%) to 77 days.

View the Lamoille County Stats Here

 

Waterbury Market Overview – Real Estate Sales in Waterbury, VT

Single-Family Home Sales: Waterbury, VT

As is fairly typical of the Waterbury market, transactions remained low in the fourth quarter. Closed sales declined 33.33% with only 12 closings. New listings jumped 125% however, this is an increase from 4 to 9 listings at the end of this year, which is common as Waterbury tends to runs lean on inventory. Pricing moderated, with the average sold price down 33.34% from $912K to $634K and the median sold price down 1.46% from $617,500 to $717K. Homes also took longer to sell—average days on market rose 44.44% to 41 days—and the list-to-sell ratio declined 3.58%, reflecting a bit more negotiation and a buyer pool that is weighing options carefully.

View the Waterbury Stats Here

 


Q4 2025 Summary

Across Stowe, Lamoille County, and Waterbury, Q4 reinforced a market where pricing precision and presentation matter more than ever. Some segments, especially those that feel slightly ahead of current market expectations, are taking longer to sell and negotiating more. At the same time, high-demand, well-positioned properties (turnkey, correctly priced, strong locations) continue to attract serious buyer attention and perform well.

Curious what this means for your home’s value—or your buying strategy heading into 2026? Reach out anytime for a local, data-driven pricing conversation and a plan tailored to your goals in the Stowe area market.

 

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